FNUS73 KARX 191237
FWSARX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ORONOCO PR...MINNESOTA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
737 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS NORTHERN
WISCONSIN TODAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 29.
OTHERWISE...SUNNY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA/SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN/NORTHEAST IOWA. HIGHS
TODAY WILL TOP OFF IN THE UPPER 60S NORTH OF HIGHWAY 29...TO THE
UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AS STRONG
LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE DAKOTAS INTO NORTHERN MN. STRONG
SUSTAINED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH LOOKS LIKELY WITH
GUST POTENTIAL INTO THE 40-45 MPH RANGE...ESPECIALLY ON THE BLUFF
TOPS AND THE MORE OPEN WIND-PRONE AREAS. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG
WITH SUNNY CONDITIONS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES INTO THE 80S ACROSS
THE ENTIRE AREA. THESE TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH DEW POINTS IN
THE LOWER 50S WILL YIELD MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE
30-35 PERCENT RANGE. WITH ALREADY HIGH FIRE DANGERS IN PLACE...
WEDNESDAY MAY PAN OUT TO BE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY. WILL BE
IN CLOSE COORDINATION WITH MN/WI DNR AND SURROUNDING WEATHER
OFFICES TODAY CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGH THROUGH THURSDAY FOR A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 81.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /27200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION...MAX EXCELLENT /62400 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ST
REQUESTED BY...RUSS SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090519.ORONO.01/ARX