FNUS73 KMPX 191135
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RIPLEY ESKER...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
635 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA THIS MORNING WILL
LIFT NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AS A WARM FRONT...PASSING THE SPOT
FORECAST LOCATION DURING THE EVENING. NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS
NEAR 10 MPH NOW WILL BECOME EASTERLY THIS MORNING AND THEN
SOUTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH BY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
TONIGHT WITH SPEEDS REMAINING NEAR 15 MPH. AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5400-55300) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (47100-68400) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 25 TO 32 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     60     64     66     67     66
RH..............66     53     50     47     45     48
20 FT WIND......E 12   E 12   E 14   E 14   SE 15  SE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     25     25     25     25
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO
                    12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7200-53400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (78500-122700) IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (46600)
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 3400-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 32 TO 41 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 28
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...HILTBRAND
REQUESTED BY...RUSS SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090519.RIPLE.01/MPX