FNUS73 KMPX 191220
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ST  CROIX SAVANNA...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
720 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE TWIN CITIES THIS MORNING WILL LIFT
NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AS A WARM FRONT. THERE MAY BE AN ISOLATED
SHOWER THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS AT THE SPOT LOCATION
THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 15 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT.
STRONG SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH SPEEDS OF 20 TO
30 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 11 TO 16 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-47000) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (42200-71000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1900
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............65     73     78     81     82     80
RH..............54     46     43     39     37     39
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 7    E 8    SE 12  SE 14  SE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     20     25     25
HAINES INDEX....6      6      5      4      3      4

.TONIGHT...

RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 19 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (42200-83400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (158100-174900).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 33 TO 40 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 43
                    TO 49 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...HILTBRAND
REQUESTED BY...RUSS SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090519.STCRO.01/MPX