FNUS75 KRIW 191717
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAKI CREEK...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1117 AM MDT TUE MAY 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER SOUTHWEST WYOMING AS A PACIFIC
STORM APPROACHES AND THE RIDGE HEADS OUT INTO THE PLAINS.  THIS FLOW
WILL BRING INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE LEADING TO
ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  LIGHTNING AND OUTFLOW
WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.  TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE
WARM TODAY WITH LOW RH'S.  IT WILL BECOME BREEZY TODAY WITH THE
BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING BY 10 TO 15 DEGREES
AND RH'S ON THE INCREASE.  IT WILL REMAIN BREEZY AS WELL.  THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY. THE WINDS TAPER OFF
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BY 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WINDS BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY 1130...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH BY 1300.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS OF UP TO 45 TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 35
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (71100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (312800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-85 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (127300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (30600 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (29700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (98800
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD PUTNAM
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090519.MAKIC.02/RIW