FNUS75 KRIW 192305
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAKI CREEK...HDD BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
505 PM MDT TUE MAY 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1730 MDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF UP TO 50 MPH.
PREVAILING WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR EARLY
THIS EVENING AS WELL. AS THE ASSOCIATED STRONG UPPER LEVEL WEATHER
DISTURBANCE EXITS TO THE EAST...SOME LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS WILL
FALL MAINLY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE ENDING. DRY AND COOLER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE WEATHER SYSTEM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...C.BAKER

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (155400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (36400 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (39600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (114300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...C.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD PUTNAM
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090519.MAKIC.03/RIW