FNUS73 KMQT 202332 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR PINERY...BIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 732 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1923 EDT ON MAY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT MOVED NORTH OF UPPER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR HAS SURGED INTO THE AREA ON STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. PLAN ON CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT AND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 TO 40 MPH. LOOK FOR A COLD FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... PROVIDING AN OPPORTUNITY FOR SOME SHOWERS. DRY CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW IN ITS WAKE FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....84 AT REQUEST...MIN 61. MAX HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 68 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 24 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 19 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH DECREASING TO 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 36 TO 60 MPH BECOMING WEST AND DECREASING TO 23 TO 42 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1702) AT REQUEST. MIN...EXCELLENT (1286) DECREASING TO GOOD (520). LAL.................1 UNTIL 0500...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 1900-3800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 24 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 19 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH DECREASING TO 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........9 20 32 58 68 82 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............84 79 75 73 70 67 RH..............21 28 36 44 49 55 GENERAL WIND....SW 19 SW 19 SW 17 SW 13 SW 13 W 10 GENERAL GUST....45 45 30 30 30 20 GENERAL WIND....SW 19 SW 19 SW 17 SW 13 SW 13 W 10 GENERAL GUST....45 45 30 30 30 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.1702 1399 1194 1016 704 554 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3300 2800 2300 1900 2000 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 37 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 31 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (763) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1526). LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.17 INCHES. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........92 85 76 69 40 23 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 59 56 61 66 67 RH..............64 71 73 59 44 38 GENERAL WIND....NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 NW 11 NW 11 W 12 GENERAL GUST....20 20 20 25 25 25 GENERAL WIND....NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 NW 11 NW 11 W 12 GENERAL GUST....20 20 20 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100.492 389 470 763 1218 1526 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 2300 2800 4000 6100 6900 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...PETRO REQUESTED BY...WW TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090520.PINER.01/MQT