FNUS75 KBOU 221103 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FITNESS CHALLENGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 459 AM MDT FRI MAY 22 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AMPLE MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHWARD INTO COLORADO FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THIS EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHEAST 7-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........99%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 2000-3000 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FITNESS CHALLENGE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/22-04 91 40 41 85 S 3 1 653 S 6 3246 P 05/22-05 91 40 41 83 S 2 1 515 SW 6 2442 P 05/22-06 83 20 41 81 W 5 5 2 1 SE15 379 W 5 1639 P 05/22-07 83 20 42 76 W 3 1 1515 NW 6 8537 P 05/22-08 83 20 47 64 NW 2 1 2651 N 6 15436 P 05/22-09 83 20 51 55 N 2 2 2 1 SE18 3788 NE 7 22335 P 05/22-10 83 20 54 52 N 5 1 4525 NE 8 34114 P 05/22-11 83 20 57 50 NE 8 1 5263 NE 9 45893 F 05/22-12 84 40 59 49 E 10 10 2 4 SE10 6001 E 12 57672 F 05/22-13 84 40 60 47 E 10 4 6320 E 10 53531 F 05/22-14 84 40 61 46 E 9 4 6639 E 9 49390 F 05/22-15 84 40 62 45 SE 8 8 2 4 E 9 6958 E 8 45250 F 05/22-16 84 40 62 44 SE 7 4 6762 E 7 37850 P 05/22-17 84 40 61 44 SE 5 4 6567 E 6 30450 P 05/22-18 97 40 60 45 SE 3 3 2 4 E 8 6371 E 5 23050 P 05/22-19 97 40 58 49 SE 2 4 6005 E 3 20381 P 05/22-20 97 40 55 57 SE 2 4 5640 E 3 17713 P 05/22-21 97 40 51 66 SE 2 2 2 4 E 6 5274 E 3 15045 P 05/22-22 97 40 49 74 E 2 4 4654 E 5 15444 P 05/22-23 97 40 47 82 N 3 4 4034 NE 5 15844 P 05/23-00 78 30 46 90 NW 3 3 2 1 SE 6 3414 NE 6 16244 P 05/23-01 78 30 44 93 NW 3 1 2816 NE 5 12328 P 05/23-02 78 30 43 96 NW 3 1 2218 N 5 8412 P 05/23-03 78 30 42 99 NW 3 3 2 1 SW 2 1621 N 3 4497 P 05/23-04 78 30 41 98 NW 3 1 1691 N 5 6034 P 05/23-05 78 30 41 98 NW 5 1 1762 NW 5 7572 P 05/23-06 78 40 41 96 W 5 5 2 1 NW 3 1833 NW 6 9109 P 05/23-07 78 40 43 79 NW 5 1 2694 N 6 12448 P 05/23-08 78 40 45 72 NE 5 1 3604 N 6 16026 P 05/23-09 78 40 48 64 E 6 6 2 1 W 2 4515 N 6 19603 P 05/23-10 78 40 51 57 E 5 1 4811 NE 5 17218 P 05/23-11 78 40 53 52 E 5 1 5107 E 3 14833 P 05/23-12 82 55 54 49 E 5 5 2 5 SW 9 5404 SE 2 12449 P 05/23-13 82 55 55 46 E 6 5 5464 SE 5 21234 P 05/23-14 82 55 56 44 E 6 5 5523 SE 6 30019 P 05/23-15 82 55 56 42 E 7 7 2 5 S10 5584 S 8 38805 P 05/23-16 82 55 57 41 E 6 5 5526 S 8 40881 F 05/23-17 82 55 56 41 SE 5 5 5468 S 9 42958 F 05/23-18 82 55 56 41 SE 5 5 2 5 SW 8 5410 S 9 45035 F 05/23-19 82 55 55 42 SE 5 5 5225 S 10 46479 F 05/23-20 82 55 53 45 SE 3 5 5040 S 12 47924 F 05/23-21 82 55 51 49 SE 2 2 2 5 S 9 4855 S 12 49369 F 05/23-22 82 55 49 51 SE 2 5 4431 S 12 44249 F 05/23-23 82 55 48 53 SE 2 5 4007 S 12 39129 P 05/24-00 85 30 47 55 CALM 1 2 1 S10 3583 S 12 34010 P 05/24-01 85 30 47 56 S 2 1 3264 S 10 30296 P 05/24-02 85 30 46 56 SW 2 1 2944 S 10 26582 P 05/24-03 85 30 45 57 SW 2 2 2 1 S13 2625 S 10 22868 P 05/24-04 85 30 45 56 SW 3 1 2454 S 9 20197 P 05/24-05 85 30 45 56 SW 3 1 2284 SW 9 17526 P 05/24-06 85 30 45 69 W 3 3 2 1 S17 2114 SW 8 14855 P 05/24-07 85 30 46 65 SW 3 1 3149 SW 8 23390 P 05/24-08 85 30 49 59 S 3 1 4183 SW 9 31925 P 05/24-09 85 30 52 53 SE 3 3 2 1 S17 5218 S 9 40460 F 05/24-10 85 30 55 47 SE 5 1 5342 S 8 37599 P 05/24-11 85 30 57 44 SE 5 1 5467 S 7 34739 P 05/24-12 85 43 59 42 SE 6 6 2 4 S14 5592 S 7 31877 P 05/24-13 85 43 60 41 SE 6 4 5698 S 7 32677 P 05/24-14 85 43 60 40 SE 5 4 5804 SW 7 33477 P 05/24-15 85 43 61 40 SE 5 5 2 4 SW14 5910 SW 7 34277 P 05/24-16 85 43 61 40 S 5 4 5898 SW 7 36122 P 05/24-17 85 43 60 40 S 5 4 5887 SW 7 37966 P 05/24-18 85 43 59 42 S 5 5 2 4 W15 5876 SW 8 39811 P 05/24-19 85 43 58 44 SW 3 4 5674 SW 9 42866 F 05/24-20 85 43 55 50 SW 5 4 5473 SW 10 45921 F 05/24-21 85 43 52 56 SW 5 5 2 4 W12 5272 W 10 48977 F 05/24-22 85 43 50 59 W 6 4 4504 W 12 42444 F 05/24-23 85 43 48 62 W 7 4 3735 W 12 35911 P 05/25-00 55 20 47 64 W 8 8 2 1 SW 9 2966 W 12 29378 P 05/25-01 55 20 46 66 W 8 1 2637 W 13 27717 P 05/25-02 55 20 45 68 W 8 1 2308 W 14 26056 P 05/25-03 55 20 44 70 W 8 8 2 1 SW12 1979 W 15 24394 P 05/25-04 55 20 43 70 W 8 1 2075 W 16 27724 P 05/25-05 55 20 43 70 W 8 1 2172 W 16 31055 P 05/25-06 55 20 43 70 W 8 8 2 1 W 7 2268 W 17 34385 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...MATT DUTTON REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090521.FITNE.01/BOU