FNUS76 KMFR 211455
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CUB 3...CHEMULT RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
755 AM PDT THU MAY 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 PDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE REGION LIES UNDER DRY WEST FLOW ALOFT. A VERY
WEAK  SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH TODAY FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE ON FRIDAY. THESE SHOULD PRODUCE
LITTLE WEATHER OTHER THAN A FEW HIGH CLOUDS.

BY SATURDAY...WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE AREA AND SOME SHOULD
RESULT IN A FEW WEAK BUILDUPS...HOWEVER EXPECT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE BURN AREA. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY BUT AGAIN IT LOOKS
LIKE THE ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY STAY TO THE SOUTH. A SIMILAR
PATTERN CONTINUES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE RISK OF
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS
WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVE INLAND AND SOME SOUTHERLY
MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MID AND
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000
                    FT AGL BE LATE MORNING THEN INCREASING
                    TO 6000-6500 FEET AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH DURING
                    THE MORNING THEN....IN THE MID AND LATE
                    LATE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH EXCEPT SOUTHERLY
                    WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH ABOVE 4000 FT AGL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-39.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH-NORTHEAST
                    0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    500-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH BECOMING NORTH-NORTHEAST
                     3 TO 6 MPH .

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST
                    2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-6500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 7000-8000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH ...IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING
                     NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH EXCEPT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                     5 TO 10 MPH ABOVE 5000 FT AGL.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...GEORGE LIBERCAJT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090521.CUB3_.01/MFR