FNUS73 KMQT 211054 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR PINERY...BIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 654 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0632 EDT ON MAY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PINERY FIRE BY 0800. ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING. EXPECT THIS RAIN TO EXIT THE PINERY FIRE AREA BY 1200. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN SETTLE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ONCE AGAIN...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL ACCOMPANY THE HIGH. PLAN ON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF KEWEENAW BAY TO FALL TO 25 PCT. FORTUNATELY...WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIGHT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT AS A DISTURBANCE PASSES. OTHERWISE...THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL MONDAY AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN CLEARING AFTER 1400. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH 1400. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 35 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 TO 30 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (505) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1276) LATE THIS AFTERNOON. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5800 FT AGL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 TO 0.11 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........88 91 84 69 43 19 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 59 58 58 61 67 RH..............62 72 70 70 52 37 GENERAL WIND....NW 9 NW 9 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 W 10 GENERAL GUST....20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.320 359 331 322 840 1276 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 2200 2200 2100 4400 5800 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 36. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 86 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (771) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE EVENING. LAL.................1. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........3 0 0 4 3 2 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 53 47 42 40 37 RH..............38 51 62 71 75 84 GENERAL WIND....W 9 W 9 NW 6 N 4 N 4 NE 5 GENERAL GUST....20 20 10 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.1050 373 0 48 38 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 18 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......EAST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6...OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 10 TO 21 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (510) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (814) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000-7800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........3 6 10 15 22 29 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 53 64 67 69 68 RH..............82 47 28 18 18 20 GENERAL WIND....E 5 E 5 SE 6 S 8 SW 8 SW 7 GENERAL GUST....10 10 12 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.18 132 241 510 799 764 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3300 6000 7300 8000 5900 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...WILL WIGGINS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090521.PINER.01/MQT