FNUS73 KMQT 211943 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR PINERY...DNR/BIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 343 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1434 EDT ON MAY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE WILL ISSUE AN UPDATED SPOT FORECAST FOR THE PINERY FIRE BY 0600 EDT ON MAY 22. .DISCUSSION...RAINFALL HAS ENDED FOR THE DAY AS THE COLD FRONT SHIFTS SOUTH OF THE AREA AND CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...AS THE HIGH CENTERS ITSELF ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN BY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE MID 30S TONIGHT WITH WINDS GENERALLY BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. THERE WILL BE GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WITH VALUES RISING TO NEAR 90 PERCENT BY MORNING. FRIDAY WILL BE A SUNNY AND DRY DAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING IN CONTROL. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR 70...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 20 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 12 MPH ON FRIDAY...THE WIND DIRECTION WILL BECOME SOMEWHAT VARIABLE BY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE PENETRATING INLAND TO THE FIRE SITE. IT IS LIKELY THAT AT SOME POINT BY EARLY AFTERNOON THAT THE WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST AS THE LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARY MOVES TO THE SITE THE SITE. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........57 30 10 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 64 66 RH..............66 47 35 GENERAL WIND....NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 GENERAL GUST....20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.455 801 463 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 4700 2600 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 11 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................1. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........3 1 1 4 4 3 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 53 46 42 39 37 RH..............39 52 64 72 76 85 GENERAL WIND....NW 6 NW 6 NW 5 SW 4 SW 4 SE 2 GENERAL GUST....15 15 10 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.232 77 34 45 38 1 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (464) INCREASING TO GOOD (597) LATE. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000-7700 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING DECREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE DECREASING TO 2800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AT 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........3 6 10 13 16 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 53 63 67 69 68 RH..............82 48 29 21 21 23 GENERAL WIND....SE 2 SE 2 SE 6 N 6 NE 8 S 6 GENERAL GUST.... 8 12 12 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.23 188 299 375 597 487 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3100 6000 7500 7500 4900 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...MRD REQUESTED BY...WILL WIGGINS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090521.PINER.02/MQT