FNUS73 KPAH 221255 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 42...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 755 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SLIDE NORTHWARD UP THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AS WE HEAD INTO THE MEMORIAL DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THIS WILL WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS THE WEEKEND PROGRESSES. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. BY THURSDAY...THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT SHOULD SWEEP THE PRECIPITATION TO THE EAST OF THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............73 75 77 78 79 80 80 80 79 RH..............66 61 58 53 50 49 50 53 56 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.7 3.1 3.5 4.2 5.0 5.4 5.3 4.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 9 10 10 9 CWR.............10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 72 69 67 65 64 RH..............61 71 79 81 84 87 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 1300 100 200 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 SE 6 SE 3 SE 1 E 1 NE 2 CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81. RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2300-2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............65 74 79 80 RH..............86 66 55 50 20 FT WIND......E 2G5 E 3G5 E 4G5 E 4G10 MIX HGT (FT)....400 4600 4000 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 2 E 8 E 8 E 8 CWR.............10 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090522.TA42_.01/PAH