FNUS73 KGRR 241335
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MC CARTHY LAKE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
935 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE TODAY AS A DRY
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW DEVELOPS. AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE
70S AND ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE DECREASES THIS AFTERNOON...THE
FIRE DANGER WILL INCREASE. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN AT OR
BELOW 15 MPH OUT OF NORTH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST BY
MEMORIAL DAY. NO LAKE BREEZE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5900-6400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).

.MEMORIAL DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 600-800
                    (EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...TURNAGE
REQUESTED BY...KORY BORGMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090524.MCCAR.03/GRR