FNUS76 KMFR 241925 FWSMFR SPOT FORECAST FOR ROYAL 25 A...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1225 PM PDT SUN MAY 24 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON MAY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN OREGON TODAY WILL INCREASE INCREASE INSTABILITY OVER THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INSTABILITY IS GREATEST IN THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES UP TO JUST NORTH OF CRATER LAKE. THE BURN AREA MAY BE JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THIS AREA. THUNDERSTORM CLOUDS SHOULD BE VISIBLE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND COULD CAUSE ERRATIC WINDS TOWARD THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD MONDAY...AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CUMULUS CLOUDS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-70. MIN HUMIDITY........30-32 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUST TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TOWARD THIS EVENING IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING...THEN CLEARING BY 2200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-40. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHEAST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS COULD BE ERRATIC IN THE EARLY EVENING WITH GUST MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST UP TO 15 MPH IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1. .MEMORIAL DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76. MIN HUMIDITY........27-30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BUNNAG REQUESTED BY...DIAMOND LAKE RD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090524.ROYAL.01/MFR