FNUS72 KMFL 261502
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HELLS BAY...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1102 AM EDT TUE MAY 26 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1048 EDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AND THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY, HOWEVER MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN INLAND FROM THE
BURN SITE AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND EACH LATE MORNING TO
NEAR NOON.

ON THE BROADER SCALE... THE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS HAS
SHIFTED SOUTH TO NEAR THE LOWER KEYS, AND THIS WILL KEEP WINDS
AROUND THE FIRE GENERALLY SOUTH OR POSSIBLY SOUTHWEST THROUGH
TODAY AND TOMORROW, OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS INFLUENCES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............72.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 37.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........33     43     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     30
TEMP............83     88     88     84     82     78
RH..............69     58     55     63     70     83
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 4    S 5    S 5    S 4    SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2    S 4    S 5    S 5    S 4    SW 2
EYE LVL WIND G..       5      10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   3100   4500   4500   4000   2700
MIXNG WIND......S 5    S 7    S 8    S 8    SW 7   SW 2
DISP IDX (LDSI).15     25     41     41     33     1
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      3      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     30
LAL.............2      2      3      3      3      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............72.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............9.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............74.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.

$$
FORECASTER...TINGLER
REQUESTED BY...R TRINCADO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE