FNUS72 KILM 281348
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY SHELTER 8H...NC WILDLIFE RESOURCES COMM.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
948 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1045 EDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATE FRIDAY AND PUSH OFF THE COAST
SATURDAY MORNING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. WARM AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                       AROUND 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........81     79     76     74
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............77     81     83     82
RH..............77     68     65     66
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 5    S 6    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   4200   3400   3400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8    SW 5   S 13   S 13

.TONIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700-800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   2100   2100   800    700    700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15  SW 17  SW 17  S 13   SW 13  SW 13

.FRIDAY...

MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-4100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
MIX HGT (FT)....700    2000   2000   4100   3500   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12  W 12   W 12   W 10   SW 13  SW 13

$$
FORECASTER...HAWKINS
REQUESTED BY...KEN SHUGHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090528.HOLLY.01/ILM