FNUS73 KPAH 281214 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMPGROUND...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 714 AM CDT THU MAY 28 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW CLOUDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY...AND WITH SATURATED GROUNDS...DRYING WILL BE HARD TO COME BY TODAY. A SCATTERED SHOWER WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL DESCEND TO NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS BY LATE AFTERNOON...POTENTIALLY LEADING TO SOME SMOKE MANAGEMENT ISSUES...IF ANYTHING CAN BURN TODAY. MUCH BETTER DRYING AND BURNING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................88 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-2500 FT AGL INCREASING 3900 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...AND THEN FALLING TO TOWARD 2000 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............66 67 68 69 70 70 70 70 70 70 69 RH..............88 84 81 80 79 79 78 77 76 75 75 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.5 3.9 3.6 2.8 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.5 7 9 13 16 18 17 16 14 14 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58. RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG FOG TEMP............68 64 62 61 60 59 RH..............76 85 90 93 92 93 20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 3 NW 2 NW 2 NW 1 NW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2000 3800 6300 3200 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14 NW 7 NW 3 W 5 W 5 NW 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-6300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 71 76 78 RH..............90 67 57 53 20 FT WIND......NW 1 NW 3G5 NW 4G5 NW 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 5700 6100 4900 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 N 12 N 10 NW 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...SPAETH REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090528.CAMPG.01/PAH