FNUS75 KRIW 281222
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRADLEY MOUNTAIN...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
622 AM MDT THU MAY 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0625 MDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN WITH
WEST NORTHWEST FLOW OVER WYOMING.  THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM THREAT
WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS AS STEADY STREAM OF LIMITED
SUBTROPICAL CONTINUES.  LOW LEVELS WILL BE RELATIVELY DRY...SO GUSTY
OUTFLOWS TO 35 MPH AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.  OTHERWISE
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 MPH. AT OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE AS WELL.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...C.BAKER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THIS MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (90000
                    TO 135000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-39.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-76 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (82100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (5000
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (22900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (100000
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...C.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...KIRK STR0M
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090528.BRADL.01/RIW