FNUS75 KBOU 300331 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DUMONT WILDFIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 927 PM MDT FRI MAY 29 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT WITH PARTIAL CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....37. MAX HUMIDITY........78%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7-13 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH WITH THE SHOWERS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST UP TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 8200-9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9400-10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 400 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DUMONT WILDFIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/29-21 60 30 51 54 SW 12 12 2 4 E 5 2320 W 7 14163 P 05/29-22 60 30 48 60 SW 10 4 1634 W 7 10034 P 05/29-23 60 30 46 63 SW 9 4 948 W 8 5904 P 05/30-00 44 3 44 68 SW 8 8 2 1 S 3 262 W 8 1775 P 05/30-01 44 3 41 73 W 8 1 241 W 8 1750 P 05/30-02 44 3 40 74 W 9 1 221 W 9 1725 P 05/30-03 44 3 39 76 W 9 9 2 1 W 5 201 W 9 1700 P 05/30-04 44 3 38 78 W 9 1 205 W 9 1740 P 05/30-05 44 3 37 78 W 9 1 209 W 10 1780 P 05/30-06 50 4 39 73 W 9 9 2 1 N 6 212 W 10 1819 P 05/30-07 50 4 44 65 W 8 1 2150 NW 9 12194 P 05/30-08 50 4 51 53 NW 7 1 4089 N 8 22568 P 05/30-09 50 4 59 42 NW 6 6 2 1 CALM 6027 N 6 32943 P 05/30-10 50 4 63 35 NW 5 1 7842 N 5 25828 P 05/30-11 50 4 66 31 N 3 1 9658 W 2 18713 P 05/30-12 70 37 67 28 NE 3 3 2 4 SW 8 11473 CALM 11597 P 05/30-13 70 37 67 29 NE 3 4 10843 SW 2 22555 P 05/30-14 70 37 66 31 E 5 4 10212 SW 3 33512 P 05/30-15 70 37 66 31 E 6 6 2 4 SW15 9581 S 6 44469 F 05/30-16 70 37 65 32 E 6 4 8738 SW 7 50272 F 05/30-17 70 37 64 33 SE 7 4 7894 SW 8 56074 F 05/30-18 78 30 62 34 S 7 7 2 4 W15 7051 SW 10 61877 G 05/30-19 78 30 60 39 S 7 4 6047 S 10 57257 F 05/30-20 78 30 05/31-06 45 10 41 78 W 9 9 2 1 SW16 484 W 13 5226 P 05/31-07 45 10 44 72 W 9 1 1619 W 12 16316 P 05/31-08 45 10 49 60 W 8 1 2755 W 12 27406 P 05/31-09 45 10 54 51 W 7 7 2 1 SW15 3890 W 12 38497 P 05/31-10 45 10 58 43 W 7 1 5569 W 10 51129 F 05/31-11 45 10 62 38 NW 6 1 7248 W 10 63761 G 05/31-12 72 30 64 35 NW 6 6 2 4 W15 8928 W 10 76393 G 05/31-13 72 30 66 33 NW 5 4 9358 W 10 81256 G 05/31-14 72 30 67 32 NW 3 4 9788 W 10 86118 G 05/31-15 72 30 67 31 N 3 3 2 4 SW15 10218 W 10 90980 G 05/31-16 72 30 68 31 NW 2 4 9714 SW 10 84776 G 05/31-17 72 30 67 32 NW 2 4 9211 SW 10 78572 G 05/31-18 72 30 65 33 NW 2 2 2 4 SW15 8707 SW 9 72367 G 05/31-19 72 30 63 36 NW 5 4 7076 W 10 62745 G 05/31-20 72 30 58 43 W 6 4 5445 W 12 53123 F 05/31-21 72 30 53 50 W 7 7 2 4 SW22 3814 W 13 43501 F 05/31-22 72 30 50 56 W 7 4 2715 W 13 30577 P 05/31-23 72 30 48 61 W 7 4 1616 W 12 17652 P 06/01-00 77 20 46 67 W 7 7 2 1 W29 516 W 10 4728 P 06/01-01 77 20 44 72 W 7 1 436 W 10 3840 P 06/01-02 77 20 42 77 W 7 1 355 W 9 2952 P 06/01-03 77 20 40 82 W 7 7 2 1 SW21 274 W 9 2064 P 06/01-04 77 20 40 84 W 7 1 292 W 9 2311 P 06/01-05 77 20 39 86 W 8 1 310 W 9 2558 P 06/01-06 77 30 39 86 W 8 8 2 4 SW13 329 W 10 2805 P 06/01-07 77 30 42 77 SW 3 4 936 W 9 6596 P 06/01-08 77 30 45 68 SW 3 4 1543 SW 8 10387 P 06/01-09 77 30 50 57 SW 3 3 2 4 SW10 2150 S 8 14177 P 06/01-10 77 30 54 49 S 3 4 4095 S 7 20987 P 06/01-11 77 30 58 43 S 3 4 6040 S 6 27797 P 06/01-12 73 40 60 40 NE 2 2 2 4 S 9 7984 SE 5 34607 P 06/01-13 73 40 61 38 NE 2 4 8267 SE 7 50473 F 06/01-14 73 40 62 37 NE 2 4 8550 SE 9 66340 G 06/01-15 73 40 63 37 NE 3 3 2 4 S18 8833 SE 10 82207 G 06/01-16 73 40 63 37 NE 5 4 8402 SE 12 86820 G 06/01-17 73 40 63 38 NE 5 4 7971 SE 14 91434 G 06/01-18 73 40 61 40 NE 5 5 2 4 S29 7541 SE 15 96047 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...MATT TAYLOR REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090529.DUMON.01/BOU