FNUS71 KCTP 291457
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR PA DCNR CREW CAMP...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1057 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0946 EDT ON MAY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA TODAY....ACCOMPANIED BY HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH INTO THE STATE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...BRINGING THE
CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS AND FOLLOWED BY MUCH DRIER AIR FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 8 TO
                    13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0800...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1600...THEN NO TSTMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 17
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............90     84     80     72     55
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP................65     67     69     71     71
RH..................82     75     68     62     59
20 FT WIND..........S 5    SW 6   W 9    W 12   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     20     15
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 9   W 12   W 14   W 16   NW 17
LAL.................3      3      3      1      1
HAINES INDEX........2      3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING WEST 2 TO 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 17  NW 16  NW 13  NW 8   W 5    W 2
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 16 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............58     71     57     39     25     20
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................53     54     60     65     68     70
RH..................86     87     67     52     43     39
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 7    NW 8   NW 10  W 12   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     15     15     15
TRANSPORT WIND......W 7    NW 15  NW 18  NW 18  W 16   W 18
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      5      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN PFISTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090529.PADCN.01/CTP