FNUS72 KMHX 311249 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST MASHOES FIRE...US FISH AND WILDLIFE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 849 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0816 EDT ON MAY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING...THEN MAY BRIEFLY SHIFT TO THE WEST LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS OUTFLOW FROM THE STORMS TO THE WEST MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA. THE SEABREEZE IS NOT EXPECTED TO PUSH VERY FAR INLAND TODAY BUT MAY AFFECT THE BURN AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING A WIND SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST. WINDS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 15 MPH OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH FROM THE NW TODAY AND THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. THIS FRONT LIFTS BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT BY MONDAY EVENING WHILE BECOMING DIFFUSE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5900-7800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........47 53 53 53 54 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............74 80 82 84 83 RH..............81 62 53 48 51 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 9 W 10 W 10 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 11 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHEAST AROUND 26 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 39 36 30 24 23 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............82 77 74 72 71 70 RH..............53 64 71 73 73 73 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 W 6 NW 6 N 6 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND 14 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........22 21 19 17 15 15 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 70 72 75 76 75 RH..............70 68 64 60 58 62 20 FT WIND......NE 10 NE 11 NE 10 E 8 E 7 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...AMY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090531.SOUTH.01/MHX