FNUS72 KMHX 312148 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 1 1 1 MASHOES...ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 548 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON JUNE 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT LOCATED JUST NORTH OF MANNS HARBOR WILL STALL THIS EVENING...KEEPING WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL SUNSET. THE FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH AND SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN STALL NEAR CAPE FEAR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. AROUND 2 AM...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WILL ERODE ANY PATCHY LIGHT FOG THAT MAY FORM AFTER DARK. ANY FOG THAT FORMS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE DENSE AND LIMITED NEAR THE COAST. THIS FRONT LIFTS BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT BY MONDAY EVENING WHILE BECOMING DIFFUSE. OFFSHORE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETAKE CONTROL OF THE WEATHER PATTERN INTO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NW WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SAGS INTO THE REGION LATE IN THE WORK WEEK. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING...BECOMING EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER NOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 25 MPH...BECOMING EAST 13 TO 15 MPH AFTER NOON. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........19 17 25 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 76 77 76 RH..............59 55 54 60 20 FT WIND......NE 11 E 9 E 7 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 3 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AND THEN SOUTHWEST LATE.. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...WITH HEIGHTS INCREASING TO AROUND 1500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........13 12 11 10 9 8 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 74 73 72 71 71 RH..............60 69 73 79 84 87 20 FT WIND......E 8 E 6 SE 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........7 6 7 8 8 11 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............70 73 78 81 83 83 RH..............93 87 71 63 57 59 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 S 6 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JAMISON REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090601.111MA.01/MHX