FNUS72 KMHX 011004 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 1 1 1 MASHOES...ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 604 AM EDT MON JUN 1 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0605 EDT ON JUNE 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL STALL ALONG SOUTHEAST COASTAL SECTIONS THIS MORNING...THEN LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. A SURFACE RIDGE OFFSHORE WILL EXTEND WESTWARD OVER THE CAROLINAS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND STALL JUST NORTH OF THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING EAST 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-2800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 21 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........21 20 19 17 15 17 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 72 75 76 77 77 RH..............81 76 68 62 62 62 20 FT WIND......NE 11 NE 11 NE 10 NE 8 E 7 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 .REMARKS...NO FOG EXPECTED THIS MORNING BUT SOME SHALLOW GROUND FOG MAY DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AS SURFACE WINDS DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........18 20 16 11 9 8 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 74 73 72 71 71 RH..............66 71 76 79 84 87 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 5 SE 5 S 5 S 6 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........7 6 7 9 10 12 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............70 73 77 81 82 82 RH..............93 87 74 63 61 61 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 S 6 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 15 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WINGENROTH REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090601.111MA.02/MHX