FNUS72 KMFL 020951 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR CORBETT BU 208...FWC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 551 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JUNE 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STAGNANT SUMMER WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXPECTED TO BECOME A BIT MORE ESTABLISHED OVER THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC. THIS WILL ALLOW THE ATLANTIC COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY TO PUSH INLAND DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING TODAY AND ON WEDNESDAY, WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 10AM AND NOON EDT. ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE WESTWARD IN THE EASTERLY FLOW REGIME, AND CLEAR THE AREA BY MID-AFTERNOON. EXPECT MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES TO FALL INTO THE 55-60 PERCENT RANGE BOTH DAYS, WITH MIXING HEIGHTS PEAKING AROUND 3700-3900 FEET. STRONGER TRANSPORT LAYER SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL RESULT GENERALLY GOOD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION BOTH TODAY AND ON WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL FOG DEVELOPMENT EACH NIGHT, AS WINDS WILL BE NEARLY CALM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............71. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 69 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........20 20 40 40 40 40 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 TEMP............73 80 85 86 80 79 RH..............93 75 61 61 73 71 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 4 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2 E 2 E 4 E 6 E 6 E 6 EYE LVL WIND G..5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1600 2700 3700 3700 2700 MIXNG WIND......E 7 E 7 SE 14 SE 17 SE 17 SE 14 DISP IDX (LDSI).15 15 46 69 69 44 LVORI...........4 4 1 1 1 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 LAL.............2 2 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............71. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....6. LVORI...............6. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............72. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 66 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............2. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...DIXON REQUESTED BY...JAMES SCHUETTE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED