FNUS72 KMFL 031219
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH 41 KIRBY 2 RX...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
819 AM EDT WED JUN 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 EDT ON JUNE 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY
ALLOWING FOR THE STEERING FLOW TO BE SOUTHEAST OVER THE SPOT BURN AREA.
A SEA BREEZE SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE WEST COAST AND PUSH INLAND
ACROSS THE SPOT BURN AROUND 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON SWINGING THE WINDS FROM
A EAST DIRECTION TO A SOUTHWEST DIRECTION WITH SPEEDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS THE BURN AIR ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES...GUSTY
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THE DISPERSION INDEX TODAY IS 25 TO 35 RANGE WHICH IS IN THE FAIR RANGE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............72.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 26 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 18 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........20     43     51     70     70     70
WEATHER COV.....              SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
TEMP............79     83     86     88     88     88
RH..............94     70     63     59     59     57
20 FT WIND......E 3    NE 4   NE 4   SW 5   SW 5   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 3    NE 4   NE 4   SW 5   SW 5   NE 5
EYE LVL WIND G..5      10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   3200   3200   4500   4500   3200
MIXNG WIND......E 6    E 7    E 7    S  8   SE 8   E 7
DISP IDX (LDSI).15     28     28     23     23     18
LVORI...........4      4      2      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
LAL.............1      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............72.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............5.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............73.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
LVORI...............3.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...MINDY WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED