FNUS72 KMFL 041233
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELEVEN WEST RX...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
833 AM EDT THU JUN 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN ACTIVE PERIOD OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING
FORECAST PERIOD...WITH ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO BECOME CONCENTRATED
ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...AS AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHES THE REGION LATER THIS WEEK...EXPECT THE STORM
FOCUS TO SHIFT BACK TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST...WITH THIS TREND
EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. CLOUD COVER
AND LIGHT TRANSPORT LAYER FLOW WILL RESULT IN POOR TO FAIR SMOKE
DISPERSION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXPECT
MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO RANGE FROM 50-60
PERCENT REGION WIDE...WITH MIXING HEIGHTS GENERALLY AVERAGING 4000
FEET. LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES AT NIGHT WILL PROMOTE FOG
DEVELOPMENT...BUT PRIMARILY ACROSS INTERIOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES.

WINDS WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH UNTIL OUTFLOWS FROM
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE VARIABLE WINDS AFTER LATE MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............70.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 28 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........30     53     61     80     80     80
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     70     70     70     70
TEMP............78     86     88     86     87     83
RH..............74     59     55     59     57     65
20 FT WIND......E 3    SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 3    SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   SE 3   SE 3
EYE LVL WIND G..5      5      5      10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   3000   3000   4400   3000   3000
MIXNG WIND......SE 7   SE 9   SE 9   SE 10  SE 7   SE 7
DISP IDX (LDSI).15     22     22     28     16     16
LVORI...........3      2      2      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     70     70     70     70
LAL.............3      3      3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............70.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............70.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 42 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 24 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.

$$
FORECASTER...RADER
REQUESTED BY...MINDY WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED