FNUS75 KABQ 081938
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER TAYLOR RX...SOCORRO BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
138 PM MDT MON JUN 8 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
VERY DRY SURFACE TODAY BUT INCREASING MOISTURE OFF THE PACIFIC
WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA ON TUESDAY. THIS MEANS LOWERING CLOUD
BASES AND INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES
ON TUESDAY. THE FIRE AREA WILL BE CAUGHT ALONG THIS MOISTURE
GRADIENT WITH WETTER ACTIVITY FOUND TO THE WEST. THE FIRE AREA
TOWARDS THE END OF TOMORROW HAS THE POTENTIAL OF SEEING SOME
WETTING RAIN BUT DUE TO THE FAST MOVING NATURE TO THE SHOWERS
AND STORMS...RESIDENCE TIME OR FOOTPRINT OF THE WETTING RAIN WOULD
BE SMALL. THUS MAKING IT LESS LIKELY FOR THE FIRE AREA TO RECEIVE
WETTING RAIN. SHOWERS AND STORMS WOULD BE MOVING FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH ON TUESDAY. THUS OUTFLOW WINDS
WOULD BE THE STRONGEST FROM THE SOUTHWEST. BASED ON RECENT
ACTIVITY UNDER A STRONGER FLOW ALOFT...GUST POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED
WITH HIGHER BASED ACTIVITY IS UP TO 50 MPH FOR A SHORT PERIOD
OF TIME.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MDT 6/8/09
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY TO OCCASIONALLY CLOUD WITH
                       HIGHER CIRRUS CLOUDS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81-82.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 7-8 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
                       GUSTS IN THE 20S.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 27 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/270000 KNOT-FT.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56-60.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 27-32 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 8
                       TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 35
                       MPH.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF MOSTLY CLOUDY
                       DURING THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF HIGHER
                       BASED SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING...LOWERING
                       CLOUD BASES WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74-76.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 20-25 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                       MORNING INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY TO 14
                       TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS BETWEEN
                       25 TO 35 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 26 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/247000 KNOT-FT.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN SMITH
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090608.UPPER.01/ABQ