FNUS75 KBOU 091757 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LOVELAND WUI EXERCISE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1155 AM MDT TUE JUN 9 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOTS OF MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON STORMS. WATCH OUT FOR CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL LINGER DURING THE NIGHT. WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN LIGHT...WHICH WILL LIMIT THE AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSIAL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68. MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-8000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-47. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 600-1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........51%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 3-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5800-6800 FT AGL BY 0800. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200... THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LOVELAND WUI EXERCISE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/09-11 64 9 59 54 N 2 1 5139 W 14 59397 F 06/09-12 75 50 59 54 CALM 1 3 3 W20 5760 W 10 53172 F 06/09-13 75 50 60 54 NE 2 3 6471 W 9 49425 F 06/09-14 75 50 61 55 SE 5 3 7182 SW 8 45678 F 06/09-15 75 50 63 52 S 6 6 2 3 W21 7894 SW 6 41930 F 06/09-16 75 50 65 49 S 5 3 8024 SW 6 43767 F 06/09-17 75 50 64 51 SE 3 3 8154 W 7 45604 F 06/09-18 66 40 64 51 SE 2 2 2 3 SW13 8283 W 7 47441 F 06/09-19 66 40 62 55 S 3 3 7129 W 8 47156 F 06/09-20 66 40 58 66 SW 5 3 5974 W 9 46872 F 06/09-21 66 40 54 77 W 6 6 2 3 SW23 4820 W 12 46588 F 06/09-22 66 40 52 82 W 6 3 3576 W 9 32499 P 06/09-23 66 40 50 88 W 5 3 2332 W 7 18410 P 06/10-00 74 15 49 89 W 3 3 2 1 SW21 1088 SW 5 4321 P 06/10-01 74 15 49 87 W 3 1 978 SW 5 3975 P 06/10-02 74 15 49 87 SW 5 1 869 SW 5 3629 P 06/10-03 74 15 47 91 SW 5 5 2 1 W18 759 SW 5 3283 P 06/10-04 74 15 46 86 W 5 1 700 W 5 3007 P 06/10-05 74 15 45 85 NW 5 1 642 W 5 2731 P 06/10-06 61 20 46 81 NW 5 5 2 1 W20 583 NW 5 2455 P 06/10-07 61 20 48 76 NW 2 1 2397 W 8 17540 P 06/10-08 61 20 49 71 CALM 1 3578 W 8 26065 P 06/10-09 61 20 52 65 CALM 1 2 1 W13 4759 W 8 34590 P 06/10-10 61 20 55 59 W 2 1 5412 W 9 41558 F 06/10-11 61 20 57 56 NW 5 1 6064 W 9 48526 F 06/10-12 73 50 58 53 N 6 6 2 4 W17 6717 W 9 55494 F 06/10-13 73 50 59 52 N 5 4 6721 W 9 54744 F 06/10-14 73 50 59 52 NE 2 4 6724 W 9 53994 F 06/10-15 76 50 60 51 CALM 1 2 4 W18 6728 W 9 53243 F 06/10-16 76 50 60 52 CALM 4 6564 W 9 51443 F 06/10-17 76 50 59 52 S 2 4 6400 W 9 49644 F 06/10-18 76 50 59 54 S 3 3 2 4 W20 6237 W 9 47844 F 06/10-19 76 50 57 57 SW 5 4 5577 SW 9 43055 F 06/10-20 76 50 55 63 SW 6 4 4918 SW 9 38267 P 06/10-21 76 50 52 69 SW 7 7 2 4 W22 4258 SW 9 33479 P 06/10-22 76 50 51 73 SW 6 4 3696 SW 9 29347 P 06/10-23 76 50 49 76 SW 6 4 3133 SW 9 25216 P 06/11-00 66 30 48 79 W 6 6 2 1 W23 2571 SW 9 21084 P 06/11-01 66 30 47 81 W 6 1 2138 SW 9 16928 P 06/11-02 66 30 46 83 W 6 1 1704 SW 8 12771 P 06/11-03 66 30 46 84 W 6 6 2 1 W26 1271 SW 8 8615 P 06/11-04 66 30 45 84 W 5 1 1184 SW 8 8044 P 06/11-05 66 30 45 83 W 5 1 1096 W 8 7472 P 06/11-06 66 30 45 82 W 5 5 2 1 W29 1009 W 8 6901 P 06/11-07 66 30 47 76 SW 5 1 2296 W 9 19543 P 06/11-08 66 30 51 63 S 5 1 3582 W 9 32186 P 06/11-09 66 30 55 54 S 5 5 2 1 W26 4868 SW 10 44828 F 06/11-10 66 30 58 47 S 5 1 6169 SW 12 64771 G 06/11-11 66 30 61 43 S 6 1 7469 SW 13 84714 G 06/11-12 72 30 63 41 S 6 6 2 4 W24 8770 SW 14 104658 V 06/11-13 72 30 64 41 S 6 4 9073 SW 13 103859 V 06/11-14 72 30 65 43 S 5 4 9376 SW 13 103060 V 06/11-15 72 30 66 45 S 5 5 2 4 W26 9679 SW 13 102261 V 06/11-16 72 30 66 48 S 5 4 9172 SW 10 86290 G 06/11-17 72 30 65 52 S 3 4 8665 SW 9 70319 G 06/11-18 75 30 65 56 SW 3 3 2 4 SW28 8158 SW 8 54347 F 06/11-19 75 30 63 60 S 3 4 7429 SW 8 53331 F 06/11-20 75 30 60 66 S 5 4 6699 SW 9 52315 F 06/11-21 75 30 57 72 S 5 5 2 4 W30 5970 W 10 51299 F 06/11-22 75 30 55 75 S 6 4 4848 W 10 42535 F 06/11-23 75 30 53 77 S 5 4 3726 W 10 33772 P 06/12-00 75 20 52 78 S 5 5 2 1 W32 2605 SW 12 25008 P 06/12-01 75 20 51 80 S 5 1 2138 W 10 19492 P 06/12-02 75 20 49 81 S 5 1 1672 W 9 13976 P 06/12-03 75 20 48 82 SW 5 5 2 1 W31 1205 W 8 8459 P 06/12-04 75 20 48 81 SW 6 1 1238 W 8 8609 P 06/12-05 75 20 48 81 SW 6 1 1270 W 8 8759 P 06/12-06 60 20 48 79 W 6 6 2 1 W29 1303 W 8 8909 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090609.LOVEL.01/BOU