FNUS73 KEAX 091235 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR SUMMER 09 CASTLE AND STEELE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 735 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON JUNE 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH. AREAS THAT END UP SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT WILL SEE THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST...BUT THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE THE FRONT WILL END UP. EITHER WAY...WITH THE FRONT MOVING NORTH...AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH... MORE RAIN WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE KANSAS/MISSOURI BORDER REGION BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR RAIN WILL THEN SHIFT INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI TONIGHT...WITH RAIN EXPECTED MOST EVERYWHERE NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON WEDNESDAY MAY BE ABLE TO FOCUS MORE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY. WITH ALL THIS SAID...EXPECT HUMIDITY VALUES TO STAY ON THE HIGH SIDE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS SQUASHING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. - CUTTER .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.60 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........71 74 75 75 75 75 75 75 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............72 75 76 78 79 80 80 80 RH..............70 67 65 63 61 60 61 63 20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 12 13 14 13 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 20 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........75 75 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............79 77 74 72 71 70 69 68 68 67 66 66 RH..............66 70 77 81 84 87 89 91 93 93 95 95 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 9 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........76 76 77 78 78 79 79 80 82 83 85 86 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............66 68 71 74 76 78 79 81 82 82 83 82 RH..............94 88 81 75 70 66 64 61 59 57 57 58 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W NW NW NW N N NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 10 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 15 10 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...RUNYAN REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090609.SUMME.01/EAX