FNUS74 KMAF 091513
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR PECOS RIVER...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1013 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON JUNE 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CALM WINDS THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TOWARDS THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE DRYLINE MIXES EASTWARD
INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. BEHIND THIS FEATURE...DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE LOWER
TEENS. WINDS OF NEAR 8 TO 12 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA REMAINS FAIRLY
WEEK. BY TONIGHT...WINDS WILL QUICKLY WEAKEN AS COOLING COMMENCES.
"GOOD" RH RECOVERY CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS MAX RH VALUES
CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 60S. MUCH OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY
OVERNIGHT HOWEVER A QUICK SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED
OUT ALONG THE RETREATING DRYLINE. SIMILAR CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE BURN SITE TOMORROW AS THE DRYLINE ONCE AGAIN
MIXES EAST. WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY
EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
TEMPERATURE.........93 AT IGNITION...MAX 98.
RH..................17 PCT AT IGNITION...MIN 14 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD /128000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM         5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE
TEMP............93           98
RH..............17           14
20 FT WIND DIR..W            NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10           11
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....8000         8000
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16           15
HAINES INDEX....3            3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PCT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67.
RH..................MAX 63 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH THROUGH
            THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1000-5000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM         11 PM        3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC        S CHC        S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
TEMP............96           81           74
RH..............15           33           50
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           E            E
20 FT WIND SPD..12           9            5
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....10000        4500         500
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            SE           SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.11           1            2
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 100.
RH..................MIN 12 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /326000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM         11 AM        3 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............67           86           99
RH..............63           29           15
20 FT WIND DIR..N            NW           W
20 FT WIND SPD..5            10           12
20 FT WIND GUST.                          15
MIX HGT (FT)....< 100        4500         13000
TRANSP WIND DIR.N            S            SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.4            7            17
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

$$

FORECASTER...GITRO
REQUESTED BY...RICH GRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090609.PECOS.02/MAF