FNUS74 KMAF 102248
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR PECOS RIVER...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
548 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON JUNE 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE DIMINISHING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS
EVENING INTO TONIGHT. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY ABOUT 10 MILES
EAST OF KERMIT WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS BEHIND IT. THE ACTUAL DRYLINE
EXTENDS OUT FROM THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY PERPENDICULARLY INTERSECTING THE
PECOS RIVER IN SOUTHERN CRANE COUNTY. THE DRYLINE WILL RETREAT TO THE
NORTHWEST TONIGHT APPROACHING THE BURN SITE NEAR MIDNIGHT WHEN WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE. WIND DIRECTION AFTER MIDNIGHT IS VERY
DIFFICULT AS THE DRYLINE WILL BE IN THE IMMEDIATE AREA AND THUS THERE
COULD BE SEVERAL WIND SHIFTS AND RH CHANGES AS THE DRYLINE WAVERS BACK
AND FORTH. TOMORROW THE DRYLINE WILL RACE WELL EAST OF THE BURN SITE
WITH INCREASING WEST WINDS. OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL GREATLY DEPEND ON
THE LOCATION OF THE DRYLINE...BUT ANY SIGNIFICANT RECOVERY WILL
PROBABLY BE SHORT LIVED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /320000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE
TEMP............99
RH..............21
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW
20 FT WIND SPD..18
20 FT WIND GUST.24
MIX HGT (FT)....16000
TRANSP WIND DIR.W
TRANSP WIND SPD.20
HAINES INDEX....3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........32 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /279000 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO POOR
                    /0-3000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............96     89     81     76     73     69
RH..............13     18     25     30     31     32
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW    WNW    WNW    SE     S      SW
20 FT WIND SPD..17     14     9      4      4      2
20 FT WIND GUST.24     19     13     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....15500  15500  500    < 100  < 100  < 100
TRANSP WIND DIR.W      W      W      NW     NW     W
TRANSP WIND SPD.18     18     5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 102.
MIN HUMIDITY........7 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /0 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    /221000-263000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     75     88     97     101    101
RH..............32     22     14     10     9      9
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4      4      10     15     15     18
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....< 100  < 100  6000   10500  10500  12500
TRANSP WIND DIR.W      W      W      W      W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6      6      21     21     21     21
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

$$

FORECASTER...HENNIG
REQUESTED BY...RICH GRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090610.PECOS.01/MAF