FNUS72 KMLB 111532
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALEXAND WILDERNES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1132 AM EDT THU JUN 11 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1135 EDT ON JUNE 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHTER WIND REGIME OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER
THE AREA. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND
5 MPH INTO THIS AFTERNOON. EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP AND PUSH
INLAND LATER TODAY AND WILL COLLIDE WITH THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE NEAR
THE BURN SITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WINDS
WILL BECOME MORE VARIABLE DUE TO THIS COLLISION BUT STILL SHOULD REMAIN
LIGHT. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SEA BREEZE
COLLISION. ANY STORMS THAT FORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG
GUSTY AND VARIABLE WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............89  92  94  94  94  93  93  90  88  85  84  82
RH..............59  54  49  44  44  44  50  54  61  63  69  74
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.                                            5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1200 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............8.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
LVORI...............1.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090611.ALEXA.01/MLB