FNUS72 KMFL 142123 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR U ROAD FIRE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 523 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SPOT FORECAST FOR U ROAD FIRE ...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 520 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1657 EDT ON JUNE 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE THUNDERSTORM THAT STARTED THE FIRE HAS MOVED SOUTH OF THE AREA. CONCERN AT THIS TIME WILL BE THE WINDS. A CURRENT WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND FLOW OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 8 MPH. BARING ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE TO THE SOUTH...WHEN THE WINDS BECOME SOUTHEAST...THEY SHOULD REMAIN SO UNTIL AFTER SUNSET THEN BECOME ESSENTIALLY CALM. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE ALMOST 100 PERCENT RECOVERY TONIGHT. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY FOG DEVELOPMENT. NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE SPOT UNTIL 10 PM...I THINK IT IS OVER FOR THE FIRE AREA. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............74. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2. LVORI...............7. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........60 60 20 20 20 20 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE FOG CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 TEMP............82 80 78 77 75 74 RH..............74 80 86 89 94 99 20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 3 S 2 S 1 S 1 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 3 SE 3 S 2 S 1 S 1 SW 1 EYE LVL WIND G..5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2400 300 200 200 200 MIXNG WIND......SE 5 SE 5 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 2 DISP IDX (LDSI).3 3 2 2 2 1 LVORI...........4 4 5 7 7 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............2 2 1 1 1 1 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............74. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 48 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............2. $$ FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS REQUESTED BY...TIM WOODY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE $$ REQUESTED BY...TIM WOODY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE