FNUS75 KBOU 151102 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCLELLEN HIKER...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 459 AM MDT MON JUN 15 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS THIS MORNING...THEN ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE REGION. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51. MIN HUMIDITY........51%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 7-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........78%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200-1200 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 4000-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MCCLELLEN HIKER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/15-04 70 20 37 70 SW 7 1 317 SW 7 1866 P 06/15-05 70 20 37 77 SW 9 1 332 W 7 1975 P 06/15-06 79 20 37 69 SW 3 3 2 1 W39 348 W 7 2085 P 06/15-07 79 20 38 70 W 3 1 1379 W 8 12413 P 06/15-08 79 20 41 66 W 3 1 2410 W 9 22740 P 06/15-09 79 20 43 62 W 5 5 2 1 SW35 3441 W 12 33068 P 06/15-10 79 20 46 57 W 6 1 4152 W 13 47952 F 06/15-11 79 20 47 53 W 8 1 4864 W 14 62837 G 06/15-12 79 40 49 51 W 9 9 2 5 SW33 5575 W 16 77721 G 06/15-13 79 40 49 51 W 9 5 5838 W 16 82224 G 06/15-14 79 40 50 51 W 8 5 6101 W 16 86728 G 06/15-15 79 40 50 52 W 8 8 2 5 W35 6365 W 16 91232 G 06/15-16 79 40 50 52 W 8 5 6018 W 18 94548 G 06/15-17 79 40 50 53 W 9 5 5671 W 20 97863 G 06/15-18 80 30 49 55 W 9 9 3 4 W36 5324 W 22 101179 V 06/15-19 80 30 47 58 W 8 4 4123 W 20 74949 G 06/15-20 80 30 45 63 W 8 4 2922 W 17 48719 F 06/15-21 80 30 42 69 W 7 7 3 4 W37 1720 W 15 22489 P 06/15-22 80 30 40 72 W 7 4 1270 W 14 16218 P 06/15-23 80 30 39 74 SW 7 4 819 W 13 9946 P 06/16-00 60 10 37 75 SW 7 7 2 1 W39 368 SW 12 3675 P 06/16-01 60 10 36 76 SW 6 1 316 SW 10 2964 P 06/16-02 60 10 35 78 SW 6 1 263 SW 9 2253 P 06/16-03 60 10 34 78 SW 5 5 2 1 W45 211 SW 8 1542 P 06/16-04 60 10 34 77 SW 5 1 207 SW 8 1404 P 06/16-05 60 10 34 77 SW 3 1 203 SW 7 1266 P 06/16-06 55 10 34 75 SW 3 3 2 1 W38 199 SW 7 1129 P 06/16-07 55 10 35 74 SW 6 1 665 SW 8 5634 P 06/16-08 55 10 39 67 SW 6 1 1131 W 9 10140 P 06/16-09 55 10 43 62 SW 6 6 2 1 W33 1596 W 10 14646 P 06/16-10 55 10 46 55 W 7 1 2545 W 12 26076 P 06/16-11 55 10 49 49 W 7 1 3494 W 12 37506 P 06/16-12 70 31 50 46 W 8 8 2 4 W38 4443 W 13 48936 F 06/16-13 70 31 51 45 W 7 4 4476 SW 12 45997 F 06/16-14 70 31 52 45 W 6 4 4510 SW 12 43059 F 06/16-15 70 31 53 46 W 5 5 2 4 SW46 4543 SW 10 40121 F 06/16-16 70 31 53 46 W 3 4 4248 SW 9 34529 P 06/16-17 70 31 53 47 CALM 4 3952 S 8 28936 P 06/16-18 70 31 52 49 S 2 2 2 4 SW47 3657 S 7 23344 P 06/16-19 70 31 50 51 SE 2 4 2558 S 6 15821 P 06/16-20 70 31 48 55 E 2 4 1460 SE 5 8297 P 06/16-21 70 31 46 58 NE 2 2 2 4 W47 362 SE 2 774 P 06/16-22 70 31 44 60 CALM 4 322 SE 3 923 P 06/16-23 70 31 43 60 W 2 4 282 S 5 1072 P 06/17-00 57 10 41 60 S 3 3 2 1 W45 243 S 6 1220 P 06/17-01 57 10 40 61 SW 3 1 220 S 7 1243 P 06/17-02 57 10 40 61 SW 5 1 198 SW 8 1267 P 06/17-03 57 10 39 62 SW 5 5 4 1 W45 176 SW 8 1290 P 06/17-04 57 10 38 60 SW 5 1 177 SW 8 1266 P 06/17-05 57 10 38 59 SW 5 1 177 SW 8 1242 P 06/17-06 57 10 38 59 SW 5 5 3 1 W53 177 SW 8 1218 P 06/17-07 57 10 40 59 SW 9 1 536 SW 10 6426 P 06/17-08 57 10 43 56 SW 9 1 896 SW 13 11634 P 06/17-09 57 10 46 53 SW 10 10 2 1 W54 1256 SW 15 16842 P 06/17-10 57 10 49 48 SW 12 1 2748 SW 20 54788 F 06/17-11 57 10 51 44 SW 13 1 4240 SW 23 92734 G 06/17-12 60 31 53 42 SW 14 22 2 4 SW52 5732 SW 26 130680 V 06/17-13 60 31 54 42 SW 14 4 5118 SW 24 110571 V 06/17-14 60 31 54 43 SW 14 4 4505 SW 23 90463 G 06/17-15 60 31 54 44 SW 14 22 3 4 SW49 3892 SW 21 70355 G 06/17-16 60 31 55 45 SW 13 4 3565 SW 21 65050 G 06/17-17 60 31 54 46 W 13 4 3239 W 21 59744 F 06/17-18 60 31 53 47 W 12 12 2 4 SW49 2912 W 22 54438 F 06/17-19 60 31 52 49 W 10 4 2035 W 18 37163 P 06/17-20 60 31 49 54 W 8 4 1157 W 14 19887 P 06/17-21 60 31 45 59 W 7 7 3 4 SW46 279 W 10 2611 P 06/17-22 60 31 43 62 W 7 4 253 W 12 2440 P 06/17-23 60 31 42 63 SW 7 4 227 SW 12 2268 P 06/18-00 50 11 40 64 SW 7 7 2 1 W51 200 SW 12 2097 P 06/18-01 50 11 39 65 SW 7 1 193 SW 12 2020 P 06/18-02 50 11 38 65 SW 7 1 186 SW 12 1943 P 06/18-03 50 11 37 66 SW 8 8 2 1 W55 179 SW 12 1867 P 06/18-04 50 11 37 66 SW 8 1 182 SW 13 1937 P 06/18-05 50 11 36 65 SW 8 1 185 SW 13 2007 P 06/18-06 50 11 36 66 SW 9 9 2 1 W56 189 W 13 2078 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...MATT TAYLOR REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090615.MCCLE.01/BOU