FNUS74 KEPZ 152320
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PASCO FIRE...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
520 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1642 MDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY AS DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
CONTINUES.  SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON
BUT PEAK WINDS WILL BE ROUGHLY 5 MPH LOWER THAN THIS PAST AFTERNOON.
TROUGH DIGGING IN OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL BEGIN TO ADVECT IN
SOME MID/UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE AS UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY ON
WEDNESDAY.  THE MOISTURE WILL MOSTLY BE WORKED-OVER...LEFTOVERS FROM
MONSOONAL CONVECTION OVER THE SIERRA MADRES DEEPER SOUTH INTO MEXICO...
AS OPPOSED TO A RICH SUB-TROPICAL TAP FROM THE PACIFIC. AS A RESULT...
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES WILL BE MODEST...BUT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL BE ENOUGH FOR DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE MOUNTAINS...
AND INCREASING RISK OF DRY LIGHTNING AND DOWNBURST WINDS WED-THU.



.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO
                    6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

                    6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SSW 11 TO 15 MPH...GUSTS 24-29 MPH LATE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT)
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.



$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090615.PASCO.01/EPZ