FNUS72 KJAX 161139 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CAMP...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 739 AM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL PASS NORTH OF THE REGION WHILE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINS TO THE SOUTH. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW TO CONTINUE WITH AFTERNOON SEABREEZE REMAINING ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES. HOT TEMPERATURE WILL BE THE RULE...ESPECIALLY OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS WHERE MID 90S WILL BE COMMON. SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT AND SEA BREEZES. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 15 MPH BUT MAY BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR STORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....62. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........26 35 35 39 44 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 90 93 94 92 RH..............75 57 49 48 53 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 3 NW 3 W 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 4600 4600 7200 4500 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 W 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 30 LAL.............1 2 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. DISPERSION INDEX....3. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........44 44 44 42 34 34 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM FOG FOG TEMP............90 85 81 79 77 75 RH..............57 68 79 84 90 96 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 2 S 1 SW 3 SW 5 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4500 1700 1700 1000 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 10 10 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....67. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SANDRIK REQUESTED BY...WAYNE BURNS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090616.BIGCA.01/JAX