FNUS72 KMLB 161307
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DISNEY WILDERNESS PRESERVE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
907 AM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
PRESCRIBED BURN AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOT CONDITIONS WILL
EXIST WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. A NORTH-NORTHEAST
STEERING FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR FURTHER PENETRATION OF THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY INLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING. WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA AND RELATIVELY LIGHT
WINDS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT...A THREAT OF FOG & HAZE MAY BE
REALIZED LATE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BURN AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING WITH INCREASING CLOUDS
                    THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL EARLY THIS MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....            SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............87  89  91  92  93  93  92  90  87  85  83  81
RH..............59  55  50  47  46  45  49  53  59  65  70  75
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NE  E   NE  N
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   3   7   7   8   8   7   5   3   3   5
20 FT WIND GUST.    5   5           10  10          5   5

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL LATE AFTERNOON & EARLY EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL LATE EVENING &
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............8.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1200 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...NEIL CLINEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090616.DISNE.01/MLB