FNAK79 PAFG 171642
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR NENANA RIDGE RESEARCH BURN...AK STATE DIV OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
842 AM AKDT WED JUN 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 AKDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE NORTH IS WEAKENING. THIS
WILL ALLOW CONVECTION THAT FORMED OVER THE ALASKA RANGE YESTERDAY
TO DEVELOP FURTHER NORTH OVER THE SITE TODAY...AND TOMORROW...FOR
BETTER CHANCES OF WET THUNDERSTORMS IN LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
LIGHT SOUTHEAST SURFACE WIND FLOW WILL BE INFLUENCED BY THE VALLEY
WINDS LATER TODAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS. AND HIGHER RH'S WILL OCCUR
TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH INCREASED CONVECTION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    SHOWERS AND WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 2200 HOURS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 3-5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED AFTERNOON
                    SHOWERS AND WET THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...RICHMOND
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090617.NENAN.01/AFG