FNUS72 KJAX 171128
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGREEN...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
728 AM EDT WED JUN 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA. THIS HIGH WILL SERVE TO SUPPRESS MOST AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL
TO NEAR 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
SUWANNEE VALLEY...BUT ONLY MINIMAL DURATIONS ARE EXPECTED. VERY HOT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS SOARING INTO THE UPPER 90S.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...BUT GUSTY WINDS
WILL ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-6100 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....79.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........31     42     42     37     34
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............84     92     96     96     94
RH..............69     51     42     41     46
20 FT WIND......N 1    N 3    NE 6   NE 7   E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.2      5      9      11     12
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   4000   4000   6100   4200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7    NE 7   NE 7   NE 12  E 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF EVENING
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........34     35     35     50     45     45
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............91     86     80     78     76     74
RH..............50     62     74     81     88     94
20 FT WIND......E 8    E 8    SE 6   SE 2   S 0    S 0
20 FT WIND GUST.12     12     9      3      1      1
MIX HGT (FT)....4200   2200   2200   1200   200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15   E 13   E 13   E 7    SE 6   SE 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............2      2      2      2      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE WIND 5 MPH OR LESS.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE BURNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090617.EVERG.01/JAX