FNAK79 PAFG 181630
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR NENANA RIDGE RESEARCH BURN...FAIRBANKS AREA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
830 AM AKDT THU JUN 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 AKDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONTINUED MOIST AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. STRONG DAYTIME HEATING WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS
AGAIN TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO POP UP AROUND NOON AND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING. THERE IS A LOT OF
AVAILABLE MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND THERE IS NOT MUCH STEERING
FLOW ALOFT FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS...SO DO NOT EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS
TO MOVE MUCH ONCE THEY FORM BRINGING A HIGH CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN.

SINCE FLOW IS UNORGANIZED...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE DRIVEN BY THE LOCATION
OF THE THERMAL TROUGH AND THE PROXIMITY OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AREA.
EXPECT PREDOMINANT WIND DIRECTION TO BE FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SHIFTING
TO THE WEST ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 6 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING SCATTERED IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT SCHMOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090618.NENAN.02/AFG