FNAK79 PAFG 181649
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART CREEK...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
849 AM AKDT THU JUN 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 AKDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONTINUED MOIST AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. STRONG DAYTIME HEATING WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS
AGAIN TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO POP UP AROUND NOON AND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING. THERE IS A LOT OF
AVAILABLE MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND THERE IS NOT MUCH STEERING
FLOW ALOFT FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS...SO DO NOT EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS
TO MOVE MUCH ONCE THEY FORM BRINGING A HIGH CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN.

SINCE FLOW IS UNORGANIZED...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE DRIVEN BY THE LOCATION
OF THE THERMAL TROUGH AND THE PROXIMITY OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AREA.
EXPECT PREDOMINANT WIND DIRECTION TO BE FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST SHIFTING
TO THE WEST ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 4 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...TAMALA DEFRIES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090618.STUAR.01/AFG