FNUS74 KMAF 181522 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR PECOS BURN...TFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1022 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON JUNE 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL HOLD TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...MAINLY FROM THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS SOUTH INTO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER BY MID AFTERNOON CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING WITH RAIN LIKELY BY EARLY EVENING. RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME BRINGING AMOUNTS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH TO A LARGE PORTION OF THE UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY COULD SEE EVEN GREATER AREAL COVERAGE OF RAIN...SO THE BEST BURN CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY GOING TO BE THE NEXT SIX HOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PCT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT /44000-68000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (MDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............94 97 97 RH..............35 30 27 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....7500 7500 11000 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 4 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF PRECIP....70 PCT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........53 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 /VERY LOW/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT /59000-102000 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO FAIR /18000 KNOT-FT/ TOWARD MORNING. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............95 90 84 81 78 76 RH..............28 32 38 42 46 49 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....11000 11000 8500 4500 4500 1500 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE S S W TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 12 13 13 12 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PCT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 /VERY LOW/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /0-6000 KNOT-FT/. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............74 79 84 88 90 89 RH..............53 46 39 36 34 35 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 9 11 11 12 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1000 1500 1500 1500 2000 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW NE NE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 4 0 0 3 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HENNIG REQUESTED BY...RICH GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090618.PECOS.01/MAF