FNAK79 PAFG 192324
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
324 PM AKDT FRI JUN 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1507 AKDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UNSTABLE MOIST AIR IS OVER THE FIRE AREA. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WET. THE OVERALL PRESSURE PATTERN IS WEAK...SO
BACKGROUND WIND SPEEDS WILL NOT BE VERY STRONG. HOWEVER... WINDS NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC. SATURDAY'S WEATHER WILL BE
SIMILAR TO FRIDAY'S. THEN A SLIGHT DRYING TREND WILL BEGIN ON
SUNDAY...WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND WET THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.
WIND ON SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND WET THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 IN THE EVENING...THEN 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WET
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 IN THE MORNING...THEN 3 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...STEVENS
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090619.BEARC.01/AFG