FNAK72 PAFC 202309
FWSALU

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE 282 WINTER TRAIL...AFS/BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
309 PM AKDT SAT JUN 20 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1430 AKDT ON JUNE 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONT LYING JUST SOUTH OF THE FIRE AREA IS PRODUCING
SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM RIVER. THE FRONT WILL
DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE REGION...SO SHOWERS WILL REMAIN SCATTERED. LOCALLY GUSTY SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MID EVENING
AND THEN QUICKLY DIMINISH. THERE WILL THEN BE A BREAK IN SHOWERS AND
WINDS TONIGHT. A LOW MOVING INTO BRISTOL BAY TONIGHT WILL SPREAD MORE
MOISTURE NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY...THOUGH THE BULK OF IT WILL REMAIN SOUTH
OF THE FIRE AREA. EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS SUNDAY MORNING...
WITH SHOWERS BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT
TO BE MORE EASTERLY ON SUNDAY. WITH THE INCREASE IN SHOWERS EXPECT
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SSE 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FEET.
MIXING WINDS........S 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING....THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SSE 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY EVENING...DIMINISHING TO SE 5 MPH
                    BY LATE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FEET EARLY EVENING...DROPPING TO 3000 FEET AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........S 17 MPH EARLY EVENING DIMINISHING TO E 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........E 5 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FEET IN THE MORNING RISING TO 5000 FEET BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........E 8 MPH INCREASING TO E 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BAINES
REQUESTED BY...DALE WOITAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090620.FIRE2.02/ALU