FNUS74 KEPZ 211630
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR JOSHUA...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1030 AM MDT SUN JUN 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0908 MDT ON JUNE 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST...WILL
KEEP BURN SITE FREE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY AND THIS EVENING. LOOK
FOR LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES...WITH LOCAL DRAINAGES TAKING OVER THIS EVENING
GIVEN ASPECT WITH BURN LOCATION.  EARLY SUMMER HEATING AND WHAT RESIDUAL
MOISTURE REMAINS...WILL HELP DEVELOP RATHER FLAT CUMULUS OVER BURN SITE
THIS AFTERNOON.  CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH DRY AIRMASS
IN PLACE.  UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN STATES...SHIFTS WEST
LATER MONDAY...THIS WILL BEGIN TO PUSH MORE MOISTURE BACK OVER SITE.
THUS ANTICIPATE A RETURN TO MOSTLY ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWER-THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY AT THAT TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 1 TO 3 MPH REST OF THIS MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING TOWARDS MIDNIGHT...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY...SHIFTING WEST 2 TO 4 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY...INCREASING AND SHIFTING
                    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...MARK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090621.JOSHU.01/EPZ