FNUS74 KEPZ 211732
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WILLOW...SOCORRO BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1132 AM MDT SUN JUN 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1030 MDT ON JUNE 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE WEST
COAST...WILL KEEP BURN SITE FREE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY AND
THIS EVENING. LOOK FOR LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST...WITH LOCAL DRAINAGES TAKING OVER THIS EVENING OVER
SLOPED UPPER PORTIONS OF FIRE.  EARLY SUMMER HEATING AND WHAT RESIDUAL
MOISTURE REMAINS...WILL HELP DEVELOP RATHER FLAT CUMULUS OVER BURN SITE
THIS AFTERNOON.  CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH DRY
AIRMASS IN PLACE.  UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN
STATES...BEGINS SHIFTING WEST LATER MONDAY...THIS WILL BEGIN TO PUSH MORE
MOISTURE BACK OVER SITE MID DAY. THUS ANTICIPATE A RETURN TO MOSTLY
ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWER-THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LATER ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH...UNTIL 1300L...THEN INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    UP-VALLEY GUSTS TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING ESPECIALLY UPPER REACHES
                    OF FIRE TOWARDS MIDNIGHT. OTHERWISE WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    2 TO 5 EARLY...SHIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 1 TO 4 MPH EARLY...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH TOWARDS MID-DAY.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...MARK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090621.WILLO.01/EPZ