FNUS72 KJAX 221246 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR 102 BEAR CREEK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 846 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND STALL OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL RE-BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH THROUGH THE PERIOD EXCEPT STRONG AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE 35-40 PERCENT RANGE AND MAY COMBINE WITH HIGH DISPERSION VALUES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BUT SHOULD FALL SHORT OF ANY CRITERIA...SO NO RED FLAG EVENTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. .TODAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....57. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............84 91 94 94 92 RH..............76 57 47 45 48 20 FT WIND......W 8 NW 10 NW 12 N 12 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 4500 4500 7300 6000 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 NW 16 NW 16 N 16 N 9 .TONIGHT... MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....2. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM MIX HGT (FT)....2900 1700 1700 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 NE 5 NE 5 SE 3 SW 5 SW 5 $$ FORECASTER...TRABERT REQUESTED BY...MARK PLOSKI TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090622.102BE.01/JAX