FNUS75 KGJT 240207
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PACK CREEK...MANTI LA SAL NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
807 PM MDT TUE JUN 23 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON JUNE 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION
THROUGH FRIDAY. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE CARRIED BY THIS FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE...RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF MAINLY LATE-DAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. SINCE THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE
LIGHT ON WEDNESDAY...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE
TERRAIN...AND BY GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS GENERATED BY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE DAY.


.WEDNESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH). BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AROUND NOON AND INCREASING
                    TO 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL AROUND 1030...THEN TO BECOMING
                    GOOD.
CLEARING INDEX......700.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...ENDING AROUND 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
CLEARING INDEX......100.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN LAL 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MOAB DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090624.PACKC.01/GJT