FNUS72 KMLB 251048
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JONATHAN DICKINSON STATE PARK C5...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
648 AM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON JUNE 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CHALLENGING WIND FORECAST. LIGHT OFFSHORE WIND THIS
MORNING WILL TURN ONSHORE BEHIND THE SEA BREEZE EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND MAY AFFECT THE BURN SITE THIS
AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT OUTFLOW
FROM OFFSHORE MOVING CONVECTION WILL CAUSE RAPID SHIFTING OF WINDS
AT THE BURN SITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY THEN INCREASING CLOUDINESS.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING EAST TO
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS
                    MAY SWITCH BACK TO OFFSHORE COMPONENT LATE IN THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT CHC
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............84  86  86  86  87  87  86  86  85  84  83  82
RH..............79  72  68  65  65  65  65  67  70  72  74  77
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  VRB VRB ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   4   4   9   10  10  10  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10                  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
LVORI...............5.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090625.JONAT.01/MLB