FNUS72 KJAX 271153
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONNER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
753 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0755 EDT ON JUNE 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN WARM
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TODAY...MAINLY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. SUNDAY...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 15 MPH EXCEPT
NEAR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH MID-MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE MORNING ONWARD.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........58     54     44     47     47     59
WEATHER COV.....SCHANCESCHANCECHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....SHOWER SHOWER TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     85     90     92     92     90
RH..............95     77     61     52     51     56
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 8   SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   1900   3500   5200   5200   4900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13  SW 13  SW 14  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     40     40     40     40
LAL.............2      2      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........59     34     34     36     38     38
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............89     85     81     79     78     77
RH..............56     65     75     80     85     87
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 7   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10            10
MIX HGT (FT)....4900   2400   2400   1400   400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 10  SW 7   SW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............3      1      1      1      2      2

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-5300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...RAMSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090627.CONNE.01/JAX