FNUS74 KEPZ 281915
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR JORNADA CHEMICAL...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
115 PM MDT SUN JUN 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1315 MDT ON JUNE 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS VERY MOIST AND FAIRLY UNSTABLE AS A WEAK
BACKDOOR FRONT FROM THE NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO.  THIS WILL INCREASE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TODAY AND MONDAY AND KEEP TEMPS SOMEWHAT COOLER AND MIN
RH LEVELS ELEVATED. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS LOCAL AREAS
OF HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED FLOODING. FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION RESULTING
IN SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. MODERATE MOISTURE LEVELS WILL
ALSO PERSIST...ENOUGH TO  CONTINUE ISOLATED MOUNTAIN STORMS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH  TO NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST TO EAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58 TO 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 3 TO 8 MPH.

MONDAY: T > 90 200PM - 600PM
       WS <= 8 MPH MOST OF THE DAY.......


$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...RYAN WHITEAKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090628.JORNA.01/EPZ